Will the German FA have the stones to get rid of Jogi Löw now? If not, next summer’s Euros could be a complete disaster…
If there was a German word for laughing at the misfortune of others, you’d imagine it would be very popular in Brazil right now.
Six years after the 7-1 in Rio, Germany suffered their own defenestration, albeit on a smaller scale, when they lost 6-0 to Spain in the Nations League this week.
“I’m not exaggerating: they were flattered by the scoreline,” said Rafa Honigstein on The Totally Football Show this week.
“If Spain had been a little more clinical or energetic in the second-half, it could have been double figures.”
While the scoreline was spectacular, it’s perhaps not a total surprise. As Rafa explained, this has been in the pipeline for the Mannschaft for a little while now.
“It started in the run-up to the 2018 World Cup. He told all of the big names they were going to play, and I think that had a very bad effect on the others who basically thought “we don’t have a chance because he’s sticking with the World Cup winners.” So there was always a split in the camp, because some people were treated differently to others.
“There was enough goodwill and credit for him to be entrusted with basically reforming his own team and righting his own problems. But in those two years he hasn’t really done enough to convince people he’s on the right path.
“Spain brutally exposed all the problems that were just beneath the surface. So in that respect it could be beneficial, but the question has to be: what do they do next? Do the German FA pull the plug, or will they convince themselves somehow things will be alright come June?”
Well quite. In Rafa’s piece on the subject for The Athletic, he floated the name Ralf Rangnick as a possible successor, with the caveat that the German FA will have to move quickly to get him. But will they?
“Rangnick is available now, but he probably won’t be available after the Euros. If Germany think Löw’s best-case scenario is having a decent Euros but then he needs to go, because he can’t do another competition, they need to make those moves now. They need to tell Rangnick “you’re the next guy, don’t take another job, July 1 you’re starting.”
“I’m not sure the German FA are clear-sighted and strategic enough to do that. I think they will just say “let’s wait and see, maybe Löw can reinvent himself one final time, let’s give him the benefit of the doubt.”
Otherwise, next summer’s Euros could see a second German calamity in a row at a major tournament.
“There is a chance it could be a big disaster: their first games are against France, then Portugal, so by the time they get to the most winnable game, against Hungary, they could be out of the competition.
“OK, because of that weird format, two of the best third-place teams could go through, so maybe you can go through with one win.
“But the fear is that if they have a second catastrophe, then not just Löw but the people above him will be blamed. And then you’re looking at wholesale changes at the German FA. Will their self-preservation instincts kick in before that, or will they hope for the best and just keep going?”
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